L’esercizio di foresight per lo sviluppo del territorio (The exercise of foresight for the development of the territory)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7433/s94.2014.12Keywords:
foresight management, Road Map, boating sectorAbstract
Purpose of the paper: To introduce an innovative methodology for foresight analysis and to align this to the needs of the new economic context in relation also to social and technological aspects.
Methodology: Starting from a literary review on the foresight topics we elaborated an innovative methodology that was applied to a specific study in boating sector.
Findings: Through foresight exercise we elaborated Road Maps which can support effectively economic operators and institutions in setting their strategies and using local resources.
Research limits: Being Road Maps still in progress, it was not possible to verify if the output of our foresight exercise is adequate to the objectives of our research. Such limits are connected to this particular type of methodology which aim is not to find solutions but to stimulate proactive behaviors.
Practical implications: The methodology represents a very detailed guide for decision maker s to develop a foresight exercise and specific Road Maps.
Originality of the paper: The methodology approach we propose for foresight exercise brings a consistent innovation to the traditional technological approach, taking into account social aspect, too.
References
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ALSAN A.M. ATILLA O. (2003), “An integrated view of foresight: integrated foresight management model”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5, n. 2, pp. 33-45, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMORIM VARUM C., MELO C., ALVARENGA A., SOEIRO DE CARVALHO P. (2011), “Scenarios and possible futures for hospitality and tourism”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13, n. 1, pp. 19-35, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMSTEUS M., (2008), Managerial foresight: concept and measurement, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10, n. 1, pp. 53-66, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMSTEUS M. (2011), “Managerial foresight: measurement scale and estimation”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13, n. 1, pp. 58-76.
ANTONELLI G., BARSOTTI L. (2011), Rapporto sulla competitività delle imprese toscane nei settori Bio-medicale e Tessile Abbigliamento (Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico)
BONACCORSI A. (coordinatore), (2011), Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico. Settore tessile e abbigliamento, Quinn - Consorzio universitario in ingegneria per la Qualità e l’Innovazione per Regione Toscana.
BONACCORSI A. (coordinatore), (2011), Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico. Settore biomedicale, Quinn - Consorzio universitario in ingegneria per la Qualità e l’Innovazione per Regione Toscana.
BONACCORSI A. (supervisore scientifico), (2007), I trend tecnologici nel settore della nautica da diporto. Metodologia di monitoraggio, Progetto nazionale di monitoraggio dei trend tecnologici cofinanziato da Unioncamere Nazionale e Dintec, Unioncamere Toscana.
CALOF J., SMITH J.E. (2012), Foresight impacts from around the world: a special issue, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14, n. 1, pp. 5-14.
DI GREGORIO A., MORRA M.C. (2012), Intervento a convegno “Progetto Innautic - Forecasting Tecnologico e Governance Territoriale (sotto-progetto C)”, 52° Salone Nautico Internazionale, Genova, 11 ottobre.
DI GREGORIO A. (2012), Intervento a convegno “Rapporto di Foresight Regionale - Progetto INNAUTIC SPC”, Innautic-SPC – foresight e nautica in Toscana, Livorno, 27 novembre.
FONDAZIONE FABER (2006), Strategie per la gestione delle alternative tecnologiche del futuro nella filiera agroalimentare, Studio di foresight http://www.confind.emr.it/file.html?_id1=3&_id2=0000002603.pdf&_id3=0&_id4=490&_id5=0&_sid=ugnkvovuldv
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GEORGHIOU L., (1996), The UK technology foresight programme, Futures, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 28, n. 4, pp. 359-377.
GEORGHIOU L., CASSINGENA HARPER J., KEENAN M., MILES I., POPPER R. (2008), The Handbook Of Technology Foresight. Concepts and Practice, Edward Elgar Publishing Inc., Northampton, MA, USA.
HORTON A., (1999), “A simple guide to successful foresight”, Foresight, Camford Publishing Ltd, vol. 1, n. 1, pp. 5-9, ISSN: 1463-6689.
JUNG HOON LEE A., PHAAL R., SANG-HO L. (2013), An integrated service-device-technology roadmap for smart city development, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc., vol. 80, n. 2, pp. 286-306, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.020.
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OKOLI C., PAWLOWSKI S.D. (2004), The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications, Information and management, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 42, n. 1, pp. 15-29.
PHAAL R., FARRUKH C.J.P., PROBERT D.R. (2004), Technology roadmapping - A planning framework for evolution and revolution, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc., vol. 71, n. 1-2, pp. 5-26.
PORTER M.E. (1981), La strategia competitiva. Analisi per le decisioni, Editrice Compositori, Bologna.
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT CENTER NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY (2010), “The 9th Science and Technology Foresight. Contribution of Science and Technology to Future Society”, Capability of Local Regions for the Green Innovation, report n. 142.
SEUNG-PYO J., JU HWAN S., JONG-KU S., (2013), A study of the SME Technology Roadmapping Program to strengthen the R&D planning capability of Korean SMEs, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc.,vol. 80, n. 5, pp. 1002-1014.
SLAUGHTER R.A., (1996), Foresight Beyond Strategy: Social Initiatives by Business and Government, Long Range Planning, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 29, n. 2, pp. 156-163.
TOLA A., (2013), Intervento a convegno “Introduzione e presentazione della ricerca per la definizione di modelli innovativi da applicare per lo sviluppo economico e tecnologico nel settore della nautica”, Innautic - Terzarolare nella crisi, Alghero, 6 e 7 giugno.
UGHETTO E., (2007), “Foresight as a triple helix of industry, university, and government relations”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9, n. 5, pp. 14-22, ISSN: 1463-6689.
URASHIMA K., YOKOO Y., NAGANO H., (2012), S&T policy and foresight investigation - impact in Japan, NISTEP, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14, n. 1, pp. 15-25.
YASUNAGA Y., WATANABE M., KORENAGA M., (2009), Application of technology roadmaps to governmental innovation policy for promoting technology convergence, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc.,vol. 76, pp. 61-79.
ALSAN A.M. ATILLA O. (2003), “An integrated view of foresight: integrated foresight management model”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5, n. 2, pp. 33-45, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMORIM VARUM C., MELO C., ALVARENGA A., SOEIRO DE CARVALHO P. (2011), “Scenarios and possible futures for hospitality and tourism”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13, n. 1, pp. 19-35, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMSTEUS M., (2008), Managerial foresight: concept and measurement, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 10, n. 1, pp. 53-66, ISSN: 1463-6689.
AMSTEUS M. (2011), “Managerial foresight: measurement scale and estimation”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13, n. 1, pp. 58-76.
ANTONELLI G., BARSOTTI L. (2011), Rapporto sulla competitività delle imprese toscane nei settori Bio-medicale e Tessile Abbigliamento (Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico)
BONACCORSI A. (coordinatore), (2011), Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico. Settore tessile e abbigliamento, Quinn - Consorzio universitario in ingegneria per la Qualità e l’Innovazione per Regione Toscana.
BONACCORSI A. (coordinatore), (2011), Progetto di Foresight Tecnologico. Settore biomedicale, Quinn - Consorzio universitario in ingegneria per la Qualità e l’Innovazione per Regione Toscana.
BONACCORSI A. (supervisore scientifico), (2007), I trend tecnologici nel settore della nautica da diporto. Metodologia di monitoraggio, Progetto nazionale di monitoraggio dei trend tecnologici cofinanziato da Unioncamere Nazionale e Dintec, Unioncamere Toscana.
CALOF J., SMITH J.E. (2012), Foresight impacts from around the world: a special issue, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14, n. 1, pp. 5-14.
DI GREGORIO A., MORRA M.C. (2012), Intervento a convegno “Progetto Innautic - Forecasting Tecnologico e Governance Territoriale (sotto-progetto C)”, 52° Salone Nautico Internazionale, Genova, 11 ottobre.
DI GREGORIO A. (2012), Intervento a convegno “Rapporto di Foresight Regionale - Progetto INNAUTIC SPC”, Innautic-SPC – foresight e nautica in Toscana, Livorno, 27 novembre.
FONDAZIONE FABER (2006), Strategie per la gestione delle alternative tecnologiche del futuro nella filiera agroalimentare, Studio di foresight http://www.confind.emr.it/file.html?_id1=3&_id2=0000002603.pdf&_id3=0&_id4=490&_id5=0&_sid=ugnkvovuldv
GAVIGAN J.P., SCAPOLO F. (2001), A practical guide to regional foresight, Foren Network (Foresight for Regional Development) - European Commission Research Directorate General.
GEORGHIOU L., (1996), The UK technology foresight programme, Futures, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 28, n. 4, pp. 359-377.
GEORGHIOU L., CASSINGENA HARPER J., KEENAN M., MILES I., POPPER R. (2008), The Handbook Of Technology Foresight. Concepts and Practice, Edward Elgar Publishing Inc., Northampton, MA, USA.
HORTON A., (1999), “A simple guide to successful foresight”, Foresight, Camford Publishing Ltd, vol. 1, n. 1, pp. 5-9, ISSN: 1463-6689.
JUNG HOON LEE A., PHAAL R., SANG-HO L. (2013), An integrated service-device-technology roadmap for smart city development, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc., vol. 80, n. 2, pp. 286-306, DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.020.
MARTIN BEN R., JOHNSTON R. (1999), Technology foresight for wiring up the national innovation System, Technological forecasting and social change, Elsevier Science Inc., vol. 60, n. 1, pp. 37-54.
OKOLI C., PAWLOWSKI S.D. (2004), The Delphi method as a research tool: an example, design considerations and applications, Information and management, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 42, n. 1, pp. 15-29.
PHAAL R., FARRUKH C.J.P., PROBERT D.R. (2004), Technology roadmapping - A planning framework for evolution and revolution, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc., vol. 71, n. 1-2, pp. 5-26.
PORTER M.E. (1981), La strategia competitiva. Analisi per le decisioni, Editrice Compositori, Bologna.
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FORESIGHT CENTER NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY (2010), “The 9th Science and Technology Foresight. Contribution of Science and Technology to Future Society”, Capability of Local Regions for the Green Innovation, report n. 142.
SEUNG-PYO J., JU HWAN S., JONG-KU S., (2013), A study of the SME Technology Roadmapping Program to strengthen the R&D planning capability of Korean SMEs, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc.,vol. 80, n. 5, pp. 1002-1014.
SLAUGHTER R.A., (1996), Foresight Beyond Strategy: Social Initiatives by Business and Government, Long Range Planning, Elsevier Science Ltd, vol. 29, n. 2, pp. 156-163.
TOLA A., (2013), Intervento a convegno “Introduzione e presentazione della ricerca per la definizione di modelli innovativi da applicare per lo sviluppo economico e tecnologico nel settore della nautica”, Innautic - Terzarolare nella crisi, Alghero, 6 e 7 giugno.
UGHETTO E., (2007), “Foresight as a triple helix of industry, university, and government relations”, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 9, n. 5, pp. 14-22, ISSN: 1463-6689.
URASHIMA K., YOKOO Y., NAGANO H., (2012), S&T policy and foresight investigation - impact in Japan, NISTEP, Foresight, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14, n. 1, pp. 15-25.
YASUNAGA Y., WATANABE M., KORENAGA M., (2009), Application of technology roadmaps to governmental innovation policy for promoting technology convergence, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Elsevier Inc.,vol. 76, pp. 61-79.
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Published
2014-08-29
